Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.901442 4.644899 5.472253 6.458445 7.599019 8.873647 10.402785
2025-10-12 2.907904 3.884267 5.081582 6.646136 8.623494 11.025189 14.147049
2025-10-19 2.332375 3.426532 4.878909 6.921374 9.688294 13.270697 18.217429
2025-10-26 1.859089 2.971581 4.554425 6.925647 10.332290 14.984005 21.734205
2025-11-02 1.455513 2.517019 4.127253 6.682200 10.551028 16.088041 24.478702
2025-11-09 1.158200 2.156083 3.762426 6.448638 10.713755 17.078829 27.099775
2025-11-16 0.976678 1.943547 3.585039 6.460583 11.219512 18.583245 30.562051
2025-11-23 0.832644 1.765398 3.430414 6.476168 11.712970 20.088198 34.122013
2025-11-30 0.704773 1.590241 3.249888 6.414915 12.058323 21.369614 37.411015
2025-12-07 0.570535 1.374178 2.958810 6.112936 11.948886 21.885426 39.486460
2025-12-14 0.488647 1.248829 2.817777 6.062045 12.263942 23.118093 42.814609
2025-12-21 0.421847 1.142188 2.695914 6.028002 12.597930 24.397677 46.299305
2025-12-28 0.398154 1.132287 2.775768 6.409468 13.760396 27.247544 52.749137
2026-01-04 0.360994 1.082343 2.762690 6.599935 14.575165 29.537900 58.380102
2026-01-11 0.333998 1.052362 2.788907 6.874727 15.579679 32.247238 64.942688
2026-01-18 0.293061 0.976074 2.696419 6.879347 16.035714 33.959269 69.789485
2026-01-25 0.244478 0.866331 2.505528 6.637453 15.952598 34.627847 72.727761
2026-02-01 0.204146 0.769868 2.330132 6.405312 15.860891 35.262528 75.629508
2026-02-08 0.180462 0.718539 2.261792 6.417195 16.298067 36.974052 80.709689
2026-02-15 0.159958 0.672109 2.198592 6.432690 16.742361 38.727046 85.974130
2026-02-22 0.139431 0.619830 2.110013 6.371802 17.003864 40.116177 90.591251
2026-03-01 0.114483 0.543770 1.938766 6.071627 16.672699 40.227753 92.615345
2026-03-08 0.100071 0.503003 1.864910 6.021041 16.931657 41.618323 97.353995